2013 Garden City Stakes at Belmont

Belmont’s Garden City Stakes

EmollientThe Grade 1 Garden City Stakes is for 3year old fillies going a distance of 11/8 miles over the turf course with a purse of $500,000.  The morning line favorite is the lightly raced Emollient with Mike Smith in the irons. This filly is set in at 3-1 and will probably stalk the pace in this race. Her latest win came in July at Hollywood Park in the Grade 1 American Oaks. This was her first outing on a turf course and a successful one. The second choice in the morning line is Discreet Marq with Garrett Gomez up. She has won 3 in a row including a Grade 2 and a Grade 1 event. She quite possibly will be on the lead in this race and will be tough if she gets away with an easy lead. The third choice according to the ML is a foreign horse by the name of Alterite. She is from France and to tell you the truth I know nothing about her. I mean how do you read the foreign past performance? It tells you the distance of the race and where the horse finished?!? If you are handicapping those races I guess you just throw a dart and that is the one you bet. Sheesh!! The one thing I know about her is that John Velazquez is riding.

Discreet MarqHere is my view of the race. Discreet Marq will be on the lead but will have some early company with her and that will be Effie Trinket. This will soften Discreet Marq up somewhat and leave the door open down the stretch for someone else to win it. I believe that someone will be…Praia with Junior Alvarado aboard. She has some credible races under her belt and is 20-1 in the morning line! She’s also getting the weight break here that should work to her advantage. So I see it this way Praia 1st, Emollient 2nd  and Discreet Marq 3rd.

Good Luck guys and gals!




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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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