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2013 Juvenile Showcase at Calder

HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch at Calder

On August 24th, 2013 while everyone is eagerly anticipating the Mid-Summer Derby, aka the Travers at Saratoga, Calder will be hosting its annual Juvenile Showcase Day, highlighting the “stars of tomorrow- TODAY!”

2013 Juvenile Showcase Day at Calder

2012 Turf Dash Winner ItsmyluckydayIn this special edition of HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch we will be focusing entirely on Calder’s Juvenile Showcase Day. There are a few other 2 year old stakes races this weekend and you can get the scoop on them here. The Juvenile Showcase Day at Calder can be a glimpse into the near future of racing as 2 year olds that compete here have a great opportunity of shining later on in their three year old careers. Last year, Itsmyluckyday caught his first stakes win in the Turf Dash at Calder and went on to win several stakes races as well as a win in the Grade 3 Holy Bull, a 2nd place finish in the Florida Derby and a second place finish in the Preakness. On that day the track was sloppy, so the race was moved off of the turf and onto the main track where Itsmyluckyday ran away with a 4 length victory. As you can see, the talent of tomorrow could very well be racing at Calder this Saturday.

Seacliff Stakes

BrothersofthetimeAlthough the entire card at Calder is made up of nothing but 2 year old races, we start the stakes races in Race 5 with the $75,000 Seacliff Stakes. 9 horses are entered into this 1 mile race, a true distance test for these 2 year olds as none of them have ever gone this far before. The first thing you should know is that both Best Plan Yet and D N A Approved have been cross-entered in the Seacliff and in the Affirmed. Stanley Gold trains both of these 2 year olds, so I would expect one to be entered in the Seacliff and the other to run in the Affirmed. For now, just know that both horses are top contenders for both races. After running 4th in the Frank Gomez Memorial and 2nd in the Dr. Fager, Best Plan Yet broke maiden in a straight maiden 39k, beating D N A Approved by 2 lengths. D N A Approved ran 6th in the Frank Gomez and has yet to capture his maiden win. Besides these 2, Brothersofthetime must be considered as one of the top contenders here. Brothersofthetime started his career at Calder in a straight maiden 39k where he outperformed a field of 9 by 5 ¼ lengths. He followed that race up with a second place finish in the Frank Gomez and a 1 ¼ length win in a $49,000 Allowance. The biggest question for him in the Seacliff (as well as all of these horses) is if he can get the 1 mile distance. In all 3 of his outings he has gained ground down the stretch, so I feel the distance should not be a problem. For my value play, I like East Hall. East Hall has yet to break maiden and at 12 to 1 morning line odds, he’ll be greatly overlooked by the public. In his last two races he has gained ground and his works show that he is prepped well for the Seacliff.

Lindsay Frolic Stakes

Calder Race CourseThe $75,000 Lindsay Frolic Stakes is race 6 on the card at Calder and features a field of 9 fillies set to go a mile. The 5/2 morning line favorite is Light Bringer. Light Bringer is coming out of a straight maiden 39k win at Calder where she won by ¾ of a length.  The big question here is whether she can handle the mile trip since her only race was at 5 furlongs. Races like this one give you a greater chance of landing a value play that pays. Let’s see what we can find! Look of a Star is the only filly in this race that has any allowance experience, running 3rd in a $30,000 allowance. Her times are good and she’ll be receiving first time Lasix for this race, so I can’t rule her out. But my value play here is Flat Out Charming. Flat Out Charming won in her second outing, scoring a 5 ¾ length victory at Gulfstream over 6 furlongs in a straight maiden 46k. Because of the distance and the amount of ground she picked up down the stretch, not to mention her speed, I believe that Flat Out Charming is going to make a big run here and at a good price.

Catcharisingstar Stakes

Calder JockeysFor race 7 on the card for the Juvenile Showcase Day at Calder we have the $75,000 Catcharisingstar Stakes for 2 year old fillies going 5 furlongs on the turf. The 5/2 morning line favorite is Solitary. Solitary won her career debut at Gulfstream by 4 ½ lengths. She is showing some really nice works since then and looks prepped well enough for this race. Secret Kitten is another filly to consider here. Her maiden win was at Calder on May 30th where she won by 3 ¼ lengths driving over a field of 7. She has the speed to be a top contender in this race and at 6 to 1 morning line odds, she should bring a decent pay-off. Secret Kitten will also have the blinkers on. Ya Esta could be a threat, though. She is sporting some great works and has shown some times that are worth noting within this field. My top choice for value has to be Elusive Cowgirl. It took her 4 tries to break maiden, but when she did, it was her first time on the turf. Elusive Cowgirl is the only horse in this field that has some turf experience when she won by 4 lengths at Ellis Park. I look for this filly to run well here and at a fat price.

Florida Stallion Susan’s Girl Stakes

Scandalous ActRace 8 will be the $125,000 Florida Stallion Susan’s Girl Stakes for 2 year old fillies. This field of 7 will be going 7 furlongs. If you are looking for one race to single a horse in for your Pick 6 selection, this would be a good one. Scandalous Act is the 7/5 morning line favorite after her 7 ½ length runaway victory in the Desert Vixen and she will be the filly to beat in this one. Distance and speed should not be a problem for her at all. I would definitely use her as my only choice for this race in the Pick 6, but to play devil’s advocate, let’s look at a few possible upsets to consider. My first choice would be Boheme de Lavi at 6 to 1 on the morning line. In her last outing, Boheme de Lavi won by 4 ¼ lengths drawing away in a 6 ½ furlong race at Calder. Her works are hot and she looks like she could make a run at Scandalous Act with a good trip. My longshot play would be Proverbs Thirtyone. I suggested this filly as a longshot play when she ran in the Desert Vixen. Unfortunately, she ran a disappointing 7th, almost repeating her performance in the J J’s Dream where she ran 9th. I’m hoping that trainer Stanley Gold has worked out the problems with Proverbs Thirtyone and will be ready to shine in this race.  If she does what I think she can do, the pay will be very nice.

Florida Stallion Affirmed Stakes

My Brown Eyed GuyThe $125,000 Florida Stallion Affirmed Stakes will be the 9th race on the card at Calder for the Juvenile Showcase. A possible field of seven will be battling it out over 7 furlongs. Keep in mind that Best Plan Yet and D N A Approved are cross-entered in this race as well as the Seacliff, but I believe that Best Plan Yet will be running here in the Affirmed and D N A Approved will be in the Seacliff. I’m not 100% sure on that, so be sure to check for yourself. The 4/5 morning line favorite is My Brown Eyed Guy who recently won the Dr. Fager by 3 ¼ lengths. My Brown Eyed Guy will definitely be the horse to beat here. Copa Del Rey would be my value play here. Copa Del Rey ran 3rd in the Dr. Fager behind My Brown Eyed Guy and Best Plan Yet, but has put up some really good works since then and seems to be showing signs of improvement going into the Affirmed. Jockey Jesus Rios is getting the mount here and should help the colt’s chances.

Calder Turf Dash Stakes

Breitling FlyerRace 10 and the last race on the card for the day at Calder is the $75,000 Calder Turf Dash Stakes for 2 year olds. Set at 5 furlongs over the turf, the Turf Dash will host a field of 12. The 3/1 morning line favorite is Macho Trini who won a $49,000 allowance race at Gulfstream by 3 lengths. Half of this field was in that race on August 10th, so I can see why he would get top billing here. Running 2nd place in that same race was Breitling Flyer. Breitling Flyer feels like a better choice in this race, though. He has a great jockey/trainer combo in jockey Edgard Zayas and trainer Leo Azpurua Jr. He also ran 5th in the Frank Gomez Memorial and has some good times that show he is capable of winning this race. For pace reasons, I believe Bluegrass Derby has an excellent chance of making a come-from-behind charge that could easily upset this field. My top pick for value here is Good God. Good God’s 3rd place finish in the Jamestown at Colonial has me convinced that he could make short work of this field. He is the only horse entered with any turf experience and he has an outstanding trainer in David Vivian.

The 10 Cent Pick 6 Selections

Here is a recap of my choices for Saturday’s Pick 6 at Calder, races 5-10. Keep in mind what I mentioned about Best Plan Yet and D N A Approved being cross-entered. Good luck to all!

Race 5-Brothersofthetime/East Hall/*Best Plan Yet/*D N A Approved

Race 6-Flat Out Charming/Light Bringer/Look of a Star

Race 7-Elusive Cowgirl/Solitary/Secret Kitten/Ya Esta

Race 8-Scandalous Act/Boheme de Lavi/Proverbs Thirtyone

Race 9-My Brown Eyed Guy/Copa Del Rey/*Best Plan Yet/*D N A Approved

Race 10-Good God/Bluegrass Derby/Breitling Flyer/Macho Trini

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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