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2013 Long Island Handicap

Long Island Handicap at Aqueduct

AnjazWe’re going to be looking at the Grade Long Island Handicap to be run at a distance of 11/2 miles for fillies and mares 3 year olds and upward over the turf course with a purse of  $200,000 at Aqueduct. The morning line has Thomas Albertrani’s Anjaz as the favorite, projected to go off at 5/2. This is a lightly raced filly that has not won a race this year and was a winner only once last year. Her last race was a stakes race at Saratoga which wasn’t graded. She did finish the 11/2 mile race 2nd that day with a pretty impressive speed figure. She gets the services of Javier Castellano for this one but I feel she is beatable. (What? I don’t like the favorite?) 😆 Second choice in the ML is Graham Motion’s Strathnaver to be ridden by Rajiv Maragh at 3 to 1. She too is lightly raced and loves to come out of the clouds from way back. She won a Grade 3 race at Keeneland in April at 18 to 1. Still, I just don’t like a horse that hasn’t raced much in the year. She did win her last one however at Laurel, but it wasn’t graded.

Left a MessageNext in line is Christopho Clement’s Aigue Marine at 4 to 1. She has only race twice this year and one of those was an optional claiming race for $82,500. She did win that race and was ridden out. I’m not going to spend much time talking about her. I may be way off base, but I just don’t see her deserving to be the third choice in this race. But as we all know, I have been wrong before. I must be missing something here. Maybe the favorites will get there because I see not much of anything here that I would want to place my money on. I mean the top three choices have had graded stakes experience but what have they been doing lately? Sheesh!! I guess I have to pick something here, but I wouldn’t put the family jewels up as collateral. So here goes. I pick Left a Message first, Strathnaver second and Sheppard’s Pie third. I picked him only because I had sheppard pie last night for dinner. Good luck with this one and I sincerely mean that.

 

 

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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of HandicapHorseRacing.com. With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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