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2014 Bay Shore & Carter Handicap

2014 Bay Shore at Aqueduct

Kobe's BackIt’s time to preview the Grade 1 Carter Handicap and the Grade 3 Bay Shore Stakes at Aqueduct. The Grade 3 Bay Shore is for three year olds going a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $300,000.  The morning line favorite is John Sadler’s Kobe’s Back.  Kobe’s Back recently won the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita and then finished a disappointing seventh, beaten badly in the Grade 2 Rebel at Oaklawn Park. I don’t think he took kindly to going a distance of ground. This gray colt likes to run from off the pace and will be ridden today by Corey Nakatani. The horse worked well at the western track but I am not sure if all the traveling will work in his favor. Second in the ML is Bob Baffert’s The Admiral ridden by Martin Garcia. This one has not seen graded stakes company.  Financial MogulIn fact, he just broke maiden two races back, but then followed that up with an impressive win in allowance company. He is shipping in from Santa Anita and likes to try and go from gate to wire with the lead. Maybe Baffert seen something that leads him to believe this colt is right for this race. Third choice in the Morning Line is Chad Brown’s Coup de Grace with Javier Castellano in the irons.  This one entered the Grade 2 Holy Bull last out and was beaten soundly by Cairo Prince. He too likes to try to win wire to wire, but I doubt if the layoff will help him much seeing as how the Holy Bull was on January 25th. Ok so you know I won’t be backing the favorites, especially in this race. I believe it will be Jose Ortiz aboard Financial Mogul that will pull off the upset with Oliver Zip holding on for second and The Admiral third.

Carter Handicap at Aqueduct

Sahara SkyNow let’s look at the Grade 1 Carter Handicap for three year olds and upward going a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $500,000. The morning line favorite is Jerry Hollendorfer’s Sahara Sky. Hollendorfer’s charge likes to come from off the pace and seems to love the middle distance. If he gets the pace to run at, he could be very dangerous here. He will be ridden by Corey Nakatani. Second in the ML is Kenneth McPeek’s Golden Ticket ridden by Javier Castellano. I’m not really sure what to make of this horse. He has plenty of graded stakes experience, but all of them are going a distance of ground. Golden TicketHow he will run in this sprint is anyone’s guess. What I’ll guess is that he lays just off the pace and tries to win it down the stretch. If he had not ducked in at the start of his last race in the 1 mile GPH at Gulfstream, he would have certainly won it. Seven furlongs may just be his cup of tea. Third choice in the morning line is David Jacobson’s Strapping Groom. He won the Grade 3 Tom Fool Handicap on March 1 here at Aqueduct. He lay just off the pace and got up to win by a length. He will be ridden by Irad Ortiz and will be carrying three pounds less than he did in the Tom Fool. Ok guys, this is my opinion of this race. I believe the turn back in distance is going to greatly aid Golden Ticket and he will get the job done, but it will be close between him, Stapping Groom and Sahara Sky. Happy Handicapping guys and gals!

 

 

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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of HandicapHorseRacing.com. With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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