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2014 Preakness Stakes- Mike Sr.’s Picks

Mike Sr.’s Preakness Picks

California Chrome with Art ShermanIt is time to preview the 139th running of the Preakness Stakes. The Preakness is for three year olds going 1 3/16 miles for a purse of  $1,500,000. This is the historic 2nd leg of America’s racing Triple Crown. Two weeks ago California Chrome prevailed in the first leg of the Triple Crown, the Kentucky Derby. I was proved wrong again when my choice Danza ran third by three lengths. I believe I saw some bumping going on with my horse, but I won’t get into that here and I don’t believe it was enough to cost him the race. The Chrome was the best horse that day, make no mistake about it. The pace that day was way slower than I anticipated and left the door wide open for the winner to cruise home. I am still not convinced that we have seen the twelfth Triple Crown winner…yet. That brings us to this preview. Of course the morning line favorite is Art Sherman’s California Chrome. He will undoubtedly go off at around 3-5 or so and he deserves this favoritism. He likes to be on the lead or just off of it and he will be there again today. Regular rider Victor Espinoza will have the riding honors. Second choice in the ML is Manuel Azpurua’s Social Inclusion. This one is a new shooter because he didn’t have the points to get into the Derby. He likes to be on the lead and I believe that he will be leading at least until they turn for home. Luis Contreras will be the pilot. If no one goes with him early he will out right steal the Preakness.

BayernThere are two horses tied for third choice in the morning line and the  first one I will talk about is Bob Baffert’s Bayern. He too likes it on the front end and I believe he will be pressing Social Inclusion from the gate. Rosie Napravnik will be in the irons. The other third choice is William Gowan’s Ride On Curlin with Joel Rosario aboard. He prefers to come from off the pace and will be set to pick up the pieces if the front end speed falters. So how will this one shake out? I believe that Social Inclusion and Bayern will be going at it from the get go along with General a Rod, who will show up for this race today and California Chrome will be just off their shoulders. When they turn for home Social Inclusion will have shaken off Bayern and will be just ahead of General a Rod. With about seventy yards to go, California Chrome will turn on the burners and run down Social Inclusion and will fight off a late run by Ride On Curlin. Yes I believe the favorite will win it (WHAT? DID I SAY THAT??) in a tight photo with Ride On Curlin and Social Inclusion. I still don’t see a Triple Crown winner yet and the big test will come in the Belmont Stakes. Happy Handicapping Gals and Guys!

 

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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of HandicapHorseRacing.com. With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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