2015 Blue Grass

2015 Blue Grass at Keeneland

Carpe DiemLet’s take a look at the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland for three year olds going a distance of 11/8 miles for a purse of  $1,000,000. The morning line favorite is Todd Pletcher’s Carpe Diem with John Velazquez up. He has won three out of his four races with his only loss coming to Texas Red, whom I think would have been the favorite in the Derby had he avoided the foot problem he has had. Carpe Diem has 64 points in the Derby point system and is pretty much guaranteed a spot in the run for the roses. He likes to be just off the front runners and somewhat stalks the pace. Second choice in the ML is James Cassidy’s Ocho Ocho Ocho with Santiago Gonzales in the irons. Ocho has only 10 points in the system, so he really needs a win here to be assured of a Derby start. He likes to be close to the pace and has produced some nice speed figures in the past. He gets a new jockey for this one and I am not familiar with him.

Ocho Ocho OchoThird choice in the morning line is Kiaran McLaughlin’s Classy Class with Junior Alvarado as the pilot. This one has 13 points in the point system  and he too needs a win here. He likes to be on or close to the lead and it will be hard for him to get that position here. I believe it will be a stretch for him to win here. So who will win this prestigious race? I see it like this. There is just no way that Carpe Diem gets beat here. It is as sure as the sun coming up in the morning. Of course it could be overcast in the morning, but I believe he will win it. I think that Unrivaled will be second and Ocho Ocho Ocho will be third. Happy Handicapping Gals and Guys!



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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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