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2015 Risen Star

Risen Star at Fair Grounds

Intense HolidayThis weekend we’ll see 3 Kentucky Derby Points Races in the Risen Star, the Fountain of Youth and the rescheduled Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn. Keep in mind that the Southwest Stakes awards 10 points to the winner, 4 pts to the place, 2 pts to the show and 1 point to the fourth place finisher. You can catch that article here- 2015 Southwest Stakes. The Risen Star and the Fountain of Youth, on the other hand, kick off the Kentucky Derby Championship Series where the 1st place winner will receive 50 pts, 2nd gets 20 pts, 3rd gets 10 pts and 4th gets 5 pts. If you are unfamiliar with the points system, you can read up on it here- 2015 Kentucky Derby Points System. Be sure and bookmark that page as we keep up with all of the points’ races, links to the replays and the leaderboard. In last year’s Risen Star Stakes Intense Holiday pulled off an upset and paid $12.00 for the win. Let’s see if we can capture that kind of value again in this year’s Risen Star!

Fair Grounds’ Risen Star

ImperiaThe $400,000 Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes is the 11th race on the card at Fair Grounds on Saturday and will host a field of 10 three year olds traveling 1 1/16 mile. The morning line favorite is Imperia at 7/2.  Imperia ran 2nd in his last outing, missing a win in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes by a head. Imperia likes to make a late run and will definitely be a threat here, especially with Mike Smith in the irons. Next on the ML at 9/2 is International Star, winner of the Grade 3 LeComte. International Star is also a come-from-behind horse and in my personal opinion, should be the favorite in this race. I like this colt! The LeComte victory was an impressive one and I look for him to put up a big effort in this one. His works look solid and I believe he’s ready. J S BachFor that, I’m giving him the nod for value here. It just depends on how the pace sets up for him. For a secondary value play, I’m looking at lightly raced J S Bach at 5 to 1 on the morning line. This Todd Pletcher trained colt won his last outing at this distance in gate to wire fashion by 8 ½ lengths, gaining ground and drawing away.  That was a straight maiden 45k at Gulfstream, so the real question is whether he can jump in here with these others who have been in tough competition before and outlast them in that dreadfully long stretch at the Fair Grounds. I think he can and I’m a sucker for a solid speed horse! We’ll see. Good luck everybody!

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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