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2015 San Felipe

San Felipe at Santa Anita

California ChromeThis weekend we’ll see 3 Kentucky Derby Points Races in the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct, the San Felipe at Santa Anita and the Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs. All of these races are a part of the Kentucky Derby Points System and will award the top 4 finishers in each race points toward their entrance in this year’s Kentucky Derby. If you are unfamiliar with the points system or just want all of the information concerning these races, see our post here- 2015 Kentucky Derby Points System. Be sure and bookmark that page for future reference as we are constantly updating it as these races take place and get us that much closer to this year’s Derby! In last year’s San Felipe, we saw California Chrome school the field and win by 7 ¼ lengths! He paid $4.80 for that win. Let’s see what this year’s San Felipe has in store for us!

San Felipe at Santa Anita

DortmundThe $400,000 Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes is the 7th race on the card at Santa Anita on Saturday and will feature a field of 10 three year olds traveling 1 1/16 mile. The morning line favorite is Dortmund at 8/5.  Dortmund is undefeated in 4 starts including wins in the Grade 3 Robert B Lewis and the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity. There is no doubt that Dortmund will be the one to beat in this race. He has squeaked out his last 2 outings by a head, so it’s apparent that Dortmund is good at finding ways to win, especially when it counts. Next in the morning line is a 3 way tie at 4 to 1 for Prospect Park, Lord Nelson and Ocho Ocho Ocho.  Out of these 3, which are all tough competitors, I’m leaning towards Lord Nelson as my value play. Lord Nelson picked up a nice win in the Grade 2 San Vincent. But Lord Nelson has a few concerning points to address. PulmarackFor starters, he is another Bob Baffert horse, just like Dortmund. This concerns me because you have to know that no one wants to see the undefeated horse, Dortmund, get beat- including Baffert, himself. On top of that, Lord Nelson hasn’t picked up a win at this distance yet. Still, I think he can give Dortmund a run for it here. For a longshot, I’m giving the nod to Pulmarack at 20 to 1 on the ML. This horse has shown dramatic improvements over the course of his 5 starts, rounding it out nicely with a close 2nd place finish in the California Cup Derby. I see him making a late charge in this one and possibly pulling off a huge upset. Good luck everybody!

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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