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2015 Southwest Stakes

Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn

MetabossThis Sunday, February 22nd, we have the last Kentucky Derby Points Prep race in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn. After this race has run, we’ll be into the Kentucky Derby Championship Races where all of the point pay outs will increase. If you are unfamiliar with the Kentucky Derby Points System, be sure and check out our post dedicated to keeping you up-to-date with all the points races, the leaderboard and race replays. Be sure and bookmark this page as it is constantly updated- 2015 Kentucky Derby Points System. This past Saturday (February 14th) we saw Metaboss spring an upset in the El Camino Real, winning by 2 ½ lengths and paying $15.20 for the win. Let’s see what we can spot here in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park!

Oaklawn’s Southwest Stakes

Far RightThe $300,000 Grade 3 Southwest Stakes is the 8th race on the card at Oaklawn on Monday and will feature a field of 11 three year olds traveling 1 1/16 mile. The 5/2 morning line favorite is Far Right, winner of the Smarty Jones Stakes. Far Right won that race in come from behind fashion by 1 ¾ lengths. Hall of Fame jockey, Mike Smith will be back in the saddle for this one. Next on the ML at 3/1 is Mr. Z. Mr. Z ran 3rd in the Smarty Jones. Coming down the stretch it looked as if Mr. Z had the win easily until he suddenly began to veer way out, missing the win by 2 ¼ lengths. Mr. Z’s connections have made a rider change for this one, taking Jon Court off and giving the mount to Corey Nakatani. I’m not sure if the veer out was Court’s fault or a problem with the horse, but maybe the Southwest will clear that up for us, or at the very least give Mr. Z a chance for redemption. BayerdThere are a few here that are going to go for an early lead, including Mr. Z, so I’m looking for a stalker or a late runner. Far Right fits the bill and is definitely a threat, but I’m going to go with the 2nd place finisher in the Smarty Jones as my value play- Bayerd at 5 to 1 on the morning line. I believe the Steve Asmussen trained Bayerd is coming along nicely and his second place finish in the Smarty Jones was just a taste of what’s to come. For a longshot, I like the other Asmussen horse entered here, Bold Conquest at 10 to 1.  This will be his three year old debut and he looks ready for the task. Good luck everybody!

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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