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2015 Withers

Withers Stakes at Aqueduct

UpstartThis Saturday, February 7th, we have two more Kentucky Derby Points races, starting with the Withers Stakes at Aqueduct. If you are unfamiliar with the Kentucky Derby Points System, be sure and check out our post dedicated to keeping you up-to-date with all the points races, the leaderboard and race replays. Be sure and bookmark this page as it is constantly updated- 2015 Kentucky Derby Points System. The last points race was the 2015 Holy Bull where Upstart took a 5 ½ length victory over Frosted and paid $6.20 for the win. Now let’s take a look at this year’s Wither Stakes at Aqueduct.

Aqueduct’s Withers Stakes

El KabeirThe $250,000 Grade 3 Withers Stakes is the 8th race on the card at Aqueduct Saturday and will feature a field of 7 three year olds traveling 1 1/16 mile. The 8/5 morning line favorite is El Kabeir.  Currently, El Kabeir has 21 points on the Derby trail and is tied for the lead with International Star. He had a 4th place finish in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes back in October, a 2nd place finish in the Grade 2 Nashua Stakes (a non-points race), a win in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes and a win in the Grade 3 Jerome. He looks like a solid favorite here in the Withers, but there are a few looking to put an end to his two win streak. At 2 to 1 on the morning line is Classy Class. Classy Class ran 4th in his last outing in the Grade 2 Remsen back in November. He has 1 point so far on the Derby trail with that effort and looks to make his three year old debut here in the Withers. El Kabeir and Classy Class are the only two in this field that have graded experience, but for my longshot/value plays, I’m looking for an upset. Most of these horses like that early front end lead, including the two favorites, so I’m looking for someone who can stalk or come from behind in this one. TencendurFirst up is Tencendur at 12 to 1 on the ML. Tencendur broke maiden in his last start in a nice stalking trip. He gets Cornelio Velasquez in the irons who has been hot over the last seven days and I look for this combo to put up a big effort here. For my out there longshot, I’m going with Unrivaled at 20 to 1 on the morning line. On paper it looks like it has been a struggle for him to break maiden, finally getting that win after 5 starts, but I like the fact that he has been consistent in staying in the money and has gradually built up his speed figures. He has also shown that he can make a late move, which would be in his favor here. Good luck everybody!

 

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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