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Haskell Day & Jersey Shore Pick 6

The 10 Cent Jersey Shore Pick 6

Haskell Day With Jersey Shore Pick 6It’s July 28th, 2013 making today Haskell Day at Monmouth! There are tons of talented thoroughbreds racing on today’s card and we at HHR want to give you the full scoop and our thoughts on today’s events, including our selections for the 10 Cent Jersey Shore Pick 6. There are 14 races for the day with 7 stakes and graded races, all leading up to the $1,000,000 William Hill Haskell Invitational. Some of the biggest names in racing will be there along with some of the biggest purses, so let’s get started.

Monmouth Cup Stakes

Take Charge IndyThe Jersey Shore Pick 6 starts with Race 9 and ends with the final race of the day at Monmouth, Race 14. Race 9 is the Grade 2 $200,000 Monmouth Cup Stakes. The Monmouth Cup is set at 1 1/16 mile and is for 3 year olds and up. Out of the 7 horse field, Take Charge Indy is the morning line favorite at 9/5 despite his 6th place finish in the Stephen Foster in June. Although Take Charge Indy had a poor performance there, many feel that this race was his “bounce” and he should be back to his Alysheba Grade 2 win where he drew off and won by 6 lengths at Churchill Downs. Gary Stevens will have the mount today, giving this horse an added advantage. Take Charge Indy’s former mount was Rosie Napravnik who will be aboard Ponzi Scheme in the Monmouth Cup. Ponzi Scheme is coming off of a win at Delaware in the Stymie, but his times are just not up to par with Take Charge Indy. Hymn Book is the second morning line favorite and will have John Velazquez in the irons. Hymn Book ran 3rd in the Alysheba behind Take Charge Indy, but was placed second through a disqualification. If any horse in this field can make a run at the favorite, Hymn Book has the times to do it.

Race 10- $40,000 Claiming, Non-Winners of 2

Monmouth ParkThe 10th race at Monmouth (and the second of our Jersey Shore Pick 6) is a $40,000 Claiming race featuring 3 year-olds and up, non-winners of 2 at 1 1/16 mile over the turf. (If for some reason this race should come off of the turf and onto the main track, I will consider the also eligible in my plays, Count to Seven. Chances are that this won’t happen, but if so, definitely keep him in mind for your Pick 6.) This one is a tough one, but my first pick will be Out of the Fire. He seems to have the best times at this distance and I fully expect him to be in the money here. Other comparable times to Out of the Fire at this distance on the turf include Thunder Calls, Twelve Stone and Cool Colony, all of which would make great value plays in the Pick 6. One of the safer bets here could be Vacation Time. Vacation Time has shown he likes to gain ground in the final stretch in his last two races. He’s taking a step up today, but I believe he will be in the money.

Regret Stakes

My Place AnytimeThe $100,000 Regret Stakes is the 11th race and is a 6 furlong race for fillies and mares, three years old and up. The morning line favorite in the Regret is Glamour Puss and she is showing times much better than the rest. Trained by Wesley Ward and ridden by John Velazquez this filly will be tough to beat. She will have to fight for the lead in this sprint with several of the others, though and that could be a problem.  Glamour Puss has the ability to stalk, so if her connections go with this game plan, she should be there. My Place Anytime looks good here as well and could give Glamour Puss some trouble. Her times are good and her works say she’s fit for this race. My Place Anytime has only had three bad runs in the past year. The rest of her races were won and most of those wins were won by multiple lengths. She’s Ordained is another strong filly who could do some damage here. Her times look good and her works are outstanding, but she hasn’t raced with the class she’s in today, so I have to wonder if this will make a difference. I think she may get overlooked in the public eye and be a nice value play for our Pick 6. For a nice longshot who should grab us some great odds, I like Geeky Gorgeous. She bounced in the Blue Sparkler Stakes at Monmouth on June 22nd, but her 2nd place finish in the Open Mind is most impressive. Her times are right in line with the rest of the horses I mentioned here and I think she could pull this off.

Oceanport Stakes

HobbsThe Grade 3 $150,000 Oceanport Stakes is the 12th race of the day at Monmouth. Held for three year olds and up, the Oceanport Stakes is set for 1 1/16 mile over the turf for an 11 horse field. The first horse to consider has to be Silver Max. His run-away win in the Opening Verse Stakes was just fantastic! His last outing in the Cornhusker at Prairie Meadows he ran third, but his preferred terrain is the turf and I believe we will see a big run from him today. Robby Albarado has the mount and he knows this 4 year old best. Looking at times, both Glass Art and Hudson Steele are in line to run with Silver Max. Where Glass Art lacks in class and would have to prove himself here, Hudson Steele recently showed his stuff in Da Hoss Stakes and could be ready for another win here in the Oceanport. With John Velazquez in the irons, he has an added advantage. But the best time of the bunch belongs to Hobbs. He’s sporting a blast of bullet works and looks good for this one at a very nice price.

Haskell Invitational

Verrazano Set for HaskellAnd now for the biggest race of the day- the Grade 1, $1,000,000 William Hill Haskell Invitational! Set at 1 1/8 mile for three year olds, the Haskell highlights a field of 7 superstars. Here’s how I think this one will play out. The morning line favorite at 9 to 5 is Verrazano. Don’t get me wrong- I like Verrazano and for the sake of being safe, he’ll be in my selections, but I can’t help but wonder if he is worthy of being called the favorite here. His first few races were outstanding and I can see why so many people loved him. But as a speed horse, I think that he got very fortunate in the Wood Memorial. In that race there was only one other horse who would have fought him for the lead- Freedom Child. Unfortunately, he was held up at the gate in that race and was officially declared a non-starter. Now I know that “what could have happened” and “what might have beens” are a dime a dozen in horse racing, but I do believe that Freedom Child would have fought him for that early lead and we might have seen a different outcome. Chances are, we would have seen Normandy Invasion win it- but that’s neither here nor there. When forced with front end competition in the Derby, he folded, unable to keep up the pace and finished 14th. In the Pegasus, he caught a real “lucky” break when Itsmyluckyday was forced to pull up due to an injury. I don’t mean to discredit Verrazano in any way- I just have to wonder if he caught some lucky breaks to sport the record he has. Regardless, he’ll be in my Pick 6, because he is a force to be reckoned with.

Oxbow and Gary StevensI think that Power Broker will fight him for that early lead. Bob Baffert is no stranger to the Haskell having won it 6 different times, the most of any trainer, and Power Broker is his shot at a 7th. I think he will go head to head with Verrazano and force both them to tire. Stalking the pace will be Gary Stevens and Oxbow. Stevens is looking to tie the record for most jockey wins of the Haskell. The current record belongs to Craig Perret with 3. Stevens has 2 and Oxbow could be his ticket to the third. Oxbow will definitely be in my selections, because the horse is super talented and with Stevens on board, he should be in the money. I don’t think he will try and compete for the early lead, but should he get caught up in that battle, we have to look for a late runner.

Vyjack Ready for HaskellTodd Pletcher has his angles covered with Micromanage, his second entry in the Haskell. His first was Verrazano. Since Verrazano will be a lead horse in the Haskell, Micromanage is the back-runner and has proven that he can win on the come from behind. My only problem with Micromanage is that his only 1 1/8 mile run, he was through after 6 furlongs. That leaves us with only 2 other options- Vyjack and Golden Soul. Vyjack looks good for the Haskell and has more than proven he has a very versatile running style which makes him dangerous in any race. He can front run, stalk the pace or come from way back to capture his wins. His recent work-outs show he is ready for this race and he has to be a play in my Pick 6.

Golden SoulBut Golden Soul has my eye for the Haskell. He is going to be the value play in my opinion. Why? Because you can’t ignore a 2nd place finisher in the Kentucky Derby when the rest of the world has! He can make a strong run from behind here and clean house given the right circumstances and I believe he will. He seems to prefer an inside post position which he has today and Robby Albarado will be onboard again to guide him through. I believe that Golden Soul will pull off in the Haskell what Will Take Charge almost did in the Jim Dandy. Look for him late and up the rail. As long as he can get a clean trip, Golden Soul will fetch a nice price!

Race 14 Allowance $62,500 Non Winners

2013 William Hill Haskell at Monmouth ParkRace 14 is the last race of the day and the last race in our 10 Cent Jersey Shore Pick 6. This race is for registered New Jersey bred three years old and upward which have never won a race other than maiden, claiming or non-state bred starter. Set at 1 mile and 70 yards, this race hosts a field of 12. As far as times go, I like Zealous On the Run. He’s been in and out of claiming races, which concerns me, but he recently ran 3rd in a $52,500 allowance at this distance. His trainer/jockey combo looks good and he’s sporting some nice works. Comparable to Zealous On the Run is O K Lefty. His times are in line with Zealous On the Run and he has raced well at this distance. He did gain a hint of ground in his last outing and he could fetch us a nice price here. I also like Sierra Ancha. The morning line has this four year old at 6 to 1, but his recent performance has me wondering if he is not the bargain in this race. At this distance he ran 2nd after gaining 5 lengths down the stretch and missing the win by a neck. Sierra Ancha looks good for this race and I feel will be there at the wire.

 

Mike Jr’s Picks

I will be mixing up these combinations into several tickets using an assortment of the horses below.

Race 9   MONMOUTH CUP S—–Take Charge Indy/Hymn Book/Ponzi Scheme

Race 10  Clm 40000n2L Turf–Out of the Fire /Twelve Stone/Vacation Time

Race 11  REGRET–Glamour Puss/My Place Anytime/She’s Ordained/Geeky Gorgeous

Race 12  OCEANPORT S.——-Hobbs/Silver Max/Hudson Steele/Glass Art

Race 13  HASKELL INV——–Golden Soul/Vyjack/Verrazano/Oxbow

Race 14  Alw 62500n1x——-O K Lefty/Zealous on the Run/Sierra Ancha

 

Mike Sr. sat down and looked over this Pick 6 as well. He didn’t have a chance to do a full write-up on his selections (mostly because he is too giddy over Will Take Charge’s 2nd place run in the Jim Dandy 😆 ), but he wanted to share them with you for being loyal readers of HHR. He is a bit more frugal than I am, so if you are looking for a less expensive ticket, here are his plays-

 9thTake Charge Indy/Hymn Book

10thPetrocelli/Tiz a Homerun/Cool Under Fire/Briteliteinthecity

11thGeeky Gorgeous/My Place Anytime/Glamour Puss/Heir Stream

12thSilver Max/Silver Warrior

13th—-Vyjack/Oxbow

14th—-Ok Lefty/Zealous on the Run

 

Good luck to all and enjoy Haskell Day!

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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