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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch- Darley Alcibiades

Darley Alcibiades at Keeneland

In TroubleBefore we dive into Friday’s 2 year old stakes race, the Darley Alcibiades at Keeneland, let’s recap the races from Sunday, September 29th. At Emerald, Dallon’s Gold pulled off an upset in the NWSS Cahill Road Stakes winning by 3 ½ lengths over Moony Moony. Chu and You ran a disappointing race finishing 4th in that one and ending her undefeated streak. Later on the card in the Gottstein Futurity, Del Rio Harbor out ran Mebossman by 1 ¼ lengths and paid $9.20 for the win.  In the Kip Deville at Remington we saw Aarons Orient win over Rivers Run Deep by 3 ¾ lengths. In the Matron at Belmont, Miss Behaviour out-lasted Sweet Whiskey by a length and in the Futurity Stakes, In Trouble had no troubles winning over Corfu by 2 ¼ lengths. Let’s see what we can find in the Darley Alcibiades Stakes, a “Win and You’re In” event for the upcoming 2013 Breeders’ Cup.

2013 Darley Alcibiades

My ConquestadoryKeeneland’s Fall Meet starts on Friday and in the 2 year old arena we have the $400,000 Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes for 2 year old fillies. Race 9 on the card, the Darley Alcibiades is set at 1 1/16 mile and will showcase a 13 filly field. The 3 to 1 morning line favorite is My Conquestadory. My Conquestadory has only raced once when she broke her maiden at Woodbine in the Grade 2 Summer stakes by 3 ¼ lengths. She has the top speed figure in this field, but there are a lot of others close on her heels and although I believe she will be in the mix, I’m not so sure she’ll be the victor. 4 to 1 on the morning line is Richies Party Girl. Richies Party Girl ran 4th in the Grade 3 Pmu Prix du Calvados in France, then shipped back to the states and won an allowance at Churchill on September 7th by a nose. I’m iffy on this one and honestly not quite sure why she is 4 to 1 on the ML. She seems to enjoy capturing an early lead and that could be a real problem here as she will have to contend with several of these fillies for that. One of those front runners is Who’s In Town. You might remember Who’s In Town getting disqualified after winning the Grade 2 Adirondack at Saratoga by a neck. That was her last race so her connections have had time to work out the kinks in her running style, but I still believe she will have trouble if she pursues the early lead, as she likes to do. I believe this filly will be up in the mix, but I don’t think she can pull off the win here. Which leads me to my value play, Designer Legs. Who's In Town & Designer Legs (Orange & Blue Silks)Designer Legs was given the win in the Adirondack after Who’s In Town’s disqualification. After that race, she bounced in the Spinaway running fifth. I’m not sure what happened there, but I am assuming she is ready for this race and at 10 to 1 on the morning line, she’s a good bet that could pay well. For a HUGE longshot bet, I like Russian Night. At 50 to 1 on the ML, I’m sure you’re thinking I’m an idiot, too, but hear me out. In her only race, Russian Night ran 7th in an 8 horse field, finishing 22 lengths behind winner, Harlans Special, who is also entered in this race. That’s just ugly on paper, I know. But I won’t hold her only outing against her, especially when I’m looking at her latest work. On September 29th she worked a 47 flat in a 4 furlong workout, first of 22 other horses. It’s not a lot to work with, but it’s just enough for me to throw some “just in case” money at her, especially since her pay will be fantastic should she upset this field.  Maybe her connections are just hopeful and I’m wrong, but they must see something we don’t and with that workout, I’m willing to take a stab with her. Good luck and check back with us this weekend for more 2 year old action!

 

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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