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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch-Del Mar Debutante

2013 Del Mar Debutante Stakes

BashartThis Saturday, August 31st we only have one 2 year old stakes watch race to cover, but it’s certainly a big one. But before we get to that, let’s recap Thursday’s 2 year old stakes race, Saratoga’s Grade 2 With Anticipation Stakes. In HHR’s coverage of the With anticipation, I looked for big runs from both We Miss Artie and Racetrack Romance. Unfortunately neither horse seemed to fire and held one another’s company at the back of the pack by the end of the race. If you are keeping an eye out for future plays, be sure and mark these two down because they are both due, although I’m not sure what happened to them on Thursday. At any rate, Bashart won the race by 1 ¼ lengths over River Dance. On Friday at Saratoga, Free Mugatu upset my value play, Ogermeister by a neck and paid $9.60 for the win. As I’ve said before, be sure to check back with us frequently throughout the week. We try and capture every 2 year old stakes race, whether it’s on the weekend or during the week days. Now on with the Del Mar Debutante!

Del Mar Debutante Favorites

ConcaveThe $300,000 Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante Stakes will be the 9th race on the card Saturday at Del Mar, hosting a field of 8 two year old fillies travelling 7 furlongs. Our only graded stakes winner in this field is Concave who won the Grade 2 Sorrento Stakes at Del Mar on August 7th. This daughter of Colonel John has yet to be beaten in her first two outings and is looking to add a Grade 1 victory to her career. Surprisingly enough, Concave is not the morning line favorite. Instead, that distinction goes to Awesome Baby at 5/2. Why you might ask? She’s coming out of a straight maiden 75k win where she finished 4 ¾ lengths ahead of the competition. For a first time starter, she earned an impressive speed figure and her work-outs are top notch. But I just can’t see her being the favorite over Concave who has a stakes win under her belt and a higher speed rating than Awesome Baby. I think both of these fillies will be tough competitors, but as always, I have to look for the upset.

Value Contenders for Del Mar Debutante

SproutsSprouts may not have any graded wins in her favor, but she has won back-to-back stakes races and should be considered. She won a victory in the Cinderella Stakes at Hollywood on June 15th by 3 ½ lengths and followed that up on July 19th with a win in the CTBA stakes at Del Mar by 1 ½ lengths. Her times were not as good as Concave or Awesome Baby, but Sprouts set the pace in both of these races and I feel she has some speed she hasn’t had to show yet. We may very well get a glimpse of that here in the Debutante.  At 6 to 1 morning line odds, Sprouts could bring in a nice pay. Another contender at better odds would be She’s a Tiger. She’s a Tiger ran 2nd behind Concave in the Sorrento Stakes, missing a win by ½ of a length. She also captured a win in the Landaluce Stakes at Hollywood under steady handling. Her works look good and Gary Stevens will be onboard for this trip.

Del Mar Debutante Baffert Longshot

Bob Baffert Has 3 in Del Mar DebutanteFor a longshot in the Del Mar Debutante, I like Fascinating. This filly doesn’t look so hot on paper compared to the rest of this field, especially since she hasn’t won her maiden race yet, but that’s no reason to pass her up. In her only two races, she has finished 3rd in both. In her last race, she faced 2 of her competitors in this race- Bajan and Southern Sunshine. Bajan won that race by a nose over Southern Sunshine and Fascinating missed getting in on that action by 1 length. She was coming on strong in the end there and I expect for her to show even more improvement in the Del Mar Debutante. There should be so much front end speed in this race that Fascinating’s stalking style should earn her an advantage once the dueling begins. Mike Smith will be in the irons as an added bonus. Oh and by the way, did I mention she was half-sister to Bodemeister? I have to believe that trainer, Bob Baffert is secretly giving the nod to this filly over the other 2 he has entered here (at least on a personal level).  Look for this filly to fascinate them all down the stretch.

 

 

 

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Handicap Horses

Co-lead Author & Admin at Handicap Horse Racing
Mike Lane, Sr is co-lead author and administrator of HandicapHorseRacing.com. With over 38 years of experience and a degree in the "School of Hard Knocks" for handicapping, Mike has seen it all when it comes to thoroughbred racing and wants to help other horse players learn how to handicap and avoid the mistakes he has made in the past.

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