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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch- November 3rd

Sunday’s 2 Year Old Stakes

New Year's DayThe 2013 Breeders’ Cup is now over and we had a rough one here at HHR! It was an exciting two days, but in a way- I’m glad it’s over! We got beat in so many races, it was a bit depressing. Topped with the near miss by Will Take Charge in the Classic, I didn’t think I could take much more, lol. Today we have 2 two year old stakes to consider at Aqueduct, but before we get started let’s recap the BC babies that won. Starting with Friday in the Golden State Juvenile Stakes, Better Bet paid a whopping $96.00 for the win over Electric Eddie. Swiss Lake Yodeler captured the Golden State Juvenile Fillies. In the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, foreigner Outstrip won by ½ a length over Giovanni Boldini. In the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, Chriselliam won by 2 ½ lengths. On Saturday, Richies Party Girl nabbed the Juvenile Turf Sprint  and Ria Antonia was given the win in the BC Juvenile fillies over She’s a Tiger due to a disqualification. In the BC Juvenile, newcomer New Year’s Day kicked clear of Havana by 1 ¼ lengths and paid $23.00 for the win. At Woodbine, Paladin Bay passed up Lexie Lou and won by 1 length paying $33.70 for the win in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes. The plays just weren’t there for me in the Breeders’ Cup, but like anything worth being good at sometimes you have to get right back up on the horse after a fall. Let’s see what we can do at Aqueduct!

Tempted Stakes at Aqueduct

StopchargingmariaThe $250,000 Grade 3 Tempted Stakes at Aqueduct is the 5th race on the card and will feature 2 year old fillies traveling 1 mile. The 9/5 morning line favorite is Stopchargingmaria. Stopchargingmaria has a very nice race record having won her career opener in a straight maiden 80k at Saratoga, followed by a 2nd place finish in the Spinaway and a 3rd place effort in the Frizette. She’s dropping down to a Grade 3 here and should do well in this field with that type of experience working for her. But for value I really like Divided Attention at 5 to 1 on the ML. She ran 4th in the Frizette behind Stopchargingmaria and her speed figures have steadily improved in every race. I look for her to improve here as well. For a longshot, I’m going with Gracer. Her speeds have been consistent, but she does have a 3rd place finish in the Grade 2 Matron at Belmont and should do well in this short field.

Nashua Stakes at Aqueduct

Jose Sea ViewThe $250,000 Grade 2 Nashua Stakes is for two year olds looking to battle it out over 1 mile and is the 8th race on the card at Aqueduct. The 7/2 morning line favorite is Manhattan Johnnie who won his career opener at Belmont in a straight maiden 80k at Belmont by 5 ½ lengths in September. Don’t let the morning line fool you, though because this race looks to be wide open. For value, I like Intense Holiday at 6 to 1 on the ML. He ran 5th in the Champagne at Belmont but will be running with an easier class on this go and should do fine with this bunch. He has one of the highest speed ratings in this field and should he perform his best, he’ll be hard to beat. Another value play to consider is Louisiana Flyboy. He made a nice come from behind win in his career opener and was gaining ground. The pace set-up here should suit him and I would not be surprised to see him make a charge at the end. Finally, for a longshot that can’t be overlooked, I love Jose Sea View at 30 to 1 on the morning line. He is undefeated in 2 starts and won the Fitz Dixon Jr. Memorial at Presque Isle in his last outing. His speed is comparable to the rest of this field and I look for him to perform well here and at a very nice price. Good luck folks!

 

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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