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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch- October 12th

2 Year Old Stakes for Saturday

Best Plan YetThere are 5 two year old stakes races for us to consider for Saturday, October 12th. 2 of these races are actually covered in our Festival of the Sun at Calder Preview which are the Florida Stallion My Dear Girl Stakes where morning line favorite, Scandalous Act looks to dominate here and the Florida Stallion In Reality Stakes where we should see a strong battle between My Brown Eyed Guy and Best Plan Yet. Our preview of both of these races is here- Calder’s 2013 Festival of the Sun. For this issue of HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch we will be focusing on the 3 other stakes races for Saturday. We have 2 at Thistledown with the John W. Galbreath Stakes and the Juvenile Stakes and one at Northlands with the Canadian Juvenile Stakes. Let’s start with Northlands.

Canadian Juvenile Stakes

Legend FortynineThe $50,000 Canadian Juvenile Stakes at Northlands is the 7th race on the card Saturday and will host a field of 9 two year olds traveling 1 mile. The 2 to 1 morning line favorite is Legend Fortynine. Legend Fortynine recently won the Alberta Premier’s Futurity on September 21st by 9 lengths. He looks absolutely solid for this race and will be the one to beat. Looking to give him a run for his money is Western Heritage at 3 to 1 on the ML. Western Heritage won his last outing in a non-winners of 2 allowance race in come from behind fashion. In all honesty, I don’t think that Western Heritage will be able to contend with Legend Fortynine if he is on his “A” game. If I had to choose a value or longshot play here, I would consider Lintlaw. Lintlaw ran 2nd in the Birdcatcher and earned his best speed figure.  He is receiving first time Lasix for this race which should help. If he can improve on that Birdcatcher performance, he will definitely be in the money.

John W Galbreath Stakes

Needmore FlatteryThe $100,000 John W Galbreath Stakes is the 4th race on the card Saturday at Thistledown and will showcase a field of 9 two year old fillies set to run 1 1/16 of a mile. The 7/5 morning line favorite is the triple entry of Natural Bling/Countess Bling/Needmore Flattery. The real favor here seems to be pointed at Needmore Flattery who has won 5 of her 6 career races, including 4 wins in stakes races. In her last outing, the Fitz Dixon, Jr Memorial Juvenile Stakes at Presque Isle Downs, she bounced running last. I’m not sure what issues she must have had in that race, but I’m sure she’ll return to her true form here and be the one to beat. For a value/longshot play I am looking at Long Blonde Angel. She has less experience than Needmore Flattery, but she does have the speed figures to top her. I think that if any of the horses in this field could bring the upset, Long Blonde Angel is definitely the one.

Juvenile Stakes at Thistledown

ThistledownRace 6 is the $100,000 Juvenile Stakes at Thistledown and will host a field of 12 two year olds traveling 1 1/16 of a mile. The 4 to 1 morning line favorite is Ridge Defense. Ridge Defense only has one race under his belt and he ran 2nd. Honestly I am not sure why he is the ML favorite and while I am not knocking the horse in any way, I see no reason why he would stand out either. He will be receiving first time Lasix and this could give him an edge, but I think the only real reason he is considered the favorite is because he has fared the best in a mile race having run 2nd. At any rate, I have to look for another play. For value I like Crafty Blue Kat. She ran 3rd in a mile race with a close speed figure to that of Ridge Defense at the same distance. She has an excellent jockey/trainer combo in jockey, Ricardo Feliciano and trainer, Sandra Adkins. Her works are decent and I look for a good run from her here. Although she’s mixing it up with the boys here, she should do fine. I also think that cross-entered fillies Natural Bling and Countess Bling could bring some completion to this one if they do not run in the John W Galbreath Stakes. Good luck and check back with us Saturday for more 2 year old action!

 

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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