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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch- October 19th

10 Two Year Old Stakes Races

Wired BryanOn Saturday October 19th we have 10 two year old stakes races to cover in this edition of HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch. There are 2 at Belmont, 2 at Laurel, 2 at Indiana, 2 at Charles Town and 2 at Turf Paradise. That’s a whole lotta’ babies and not a whole lotta’ time, so we are going to do a quicker version of the stakes watch than what I normally do. I would love to go into depth on these, but there’s just not enough time (I do enjoy ny 40 winks on occasion!). At any rate, I’ll still provide you with the morning line favorites, my choice for value play and if possible, my longshot plays that stand a shot of making some bigger pays. Let’s get to it!

ATBA Fall Sales at Turf Paradise

Lazy Daisy MayThe $35,000 ATBA Fall Sales Stakes at Turf Paradise is the 7th race on the card Saturday and will host a field of 8 two year old fillies traveling 6 furlongs. The 9/5 morning line favorite is Lazy Daisy May. Lazy Daisy May looks decent here having won the ATBA Sales stakes at turf Paradise back in May, but that lay-off scares me. For value, I prefer My Fine Lady. My Fine Lady won her last race on October 5th at Turf Paradise by 8 ¼ lengths. Her works look good and I think she will run this one gate to wire. Following that race is the male version of the $35,000 ATBA Sales. Also set at 6 furlongs, this event will host 12 two year old colts and geldings. The 4 to 1 morning line favorite is Deadly Black Eagle. This two year old gelding won his last two outings, including the October 5th Trial 7k at Turf Paradise. Son of a Pistola also won a Trial 7k that day and looks able to give Deadly Black Eagle a run for it at 9/2on the ML. He drew out in that race and looked to have won it with ease, so I feel he is best suited as the value play here. For a longshot, I’m considering a play for Southern Chatter. He ran a little rough in his last outing, but should shake it off here and show us something.

WV Vincent Moscarelli Memorial at Charles Town

Amherst StreetThe $65,000 West Virginia Vincent Moscarelli Memorial Breeders’ Classic is the 2nd race of the day at Charles Town’s West Virginia Breeders’ Classic XXVII on Saturday and will host a field of 10 two year olds (with 4 also eligible) traveling 6 ½ furlongs. The 7/5 morning line favorite is Amherst Street. Amherst Street is undefeated in his two lifetime starts, winning both races by more than 3 lengths. He will be tough to beat in this one. By His Word looks to be the only possible contender here but will have to show some improvement to take Amherst Street down. I would also consider one of the also eligible horses, Captain Klink, should he make it into this field.

WV Triple Crown Nutrition at Charles Town

Nana AnnaThe $65,000 West Virginia Triple Crown Nutrition Breeders’ Classic is the 9th race on the card at Charles Town. Spotlighting a field of 10 two year old fillies (with 4 also eligible waiting in the wings), the WV Triple Crown Nutrition is set at 4 ½ furlongs.  The 5/2 morning line favorite is Nana Anna. She did win the Rachel’s Turn Stakes at Charleston by 2 lengths, but I’m not sold on her being the true favorite here. For value, I like Hattie B. She won her last race by 8 ½ lengths and although she has no stakes experience, I expect to see her get there in this one.  Her works look good and I believe she is ready. Should the also eligible, Dicolas Soul, make it into this race, I would definitely consider her as a contender and would love to see her go off at her 10 to 1 morning line price. Keep a look out for this one.

Indiana Futurity at Indiana Downs

Indiana DownsRace 8 at Indiana Downs is the $85,000 Indiana Futurity Stakes. This field of 12 two year old, Indiana bred colts and geldings (as well as 3 also eligible horses) are set to run 1 mile. The 9/5 morning line favorite is Bisque who ran a close 2nd in the September 28th Hillsdale at Indiana, missing it by a neck. This gelding certainly has a hot jockey/trainer combo with jockey, Malcolm Franklin and trainer, Thomas Amoss, but I’m not so sure he is the true favorite, since Mister Pollard actually won the Hillsdale. Mister Pollard is part of a coupled entry with Aft, and is 7/2 on the morning line. My Crafty Friend is another top contender having won the Crown Ambassador Stakes. But for value here I like Tachi at 8 to 1. He ran 3rd in the Hillsdale, but his late running style and Jon Court in the irons will suit him well in this field.

Miss Indiana Stakes at Indiana Downs

In the 9th race at Indiana Downs is the $85,000 Miss Indiana Stakes for Indiana bred fillies at 2 years old. This field of 12 will battle it out over 1 mile. The 8/5 morning line favorite is the 2nd coupled entry of Mystorymyway and Sliver of Hope, with the odds in favor of Sliver of Hope. Sliver of hope recently won the City of Anderson Stakes by ¾ of a length. For value, I prefer Express Model at 7/2. Express Model recently won the Indiana Stallion Stakes by 1 ½ lengths and should fare well in this event. For a way out there longshot, I really like Secondhand Justice who finished second in the Indiana Stallion Stakes. She’s showing steady signs of improvement and is part of a triple entry at 15 to 1 on the morning line. She should definitely be considered for any exotics as I feel she will hit the board at least.

Maryland Million Nursery at Laurel

The $100,000 Maryland Million Nursery Stakes kicks of Maryland Million Day at Laurel Park on Saturday in race 1. This field of 7 two year olds will travel 6 furlongs. The 7/5 favorite is Joint Custody. Joint Custody is undefeated in two starts and looks fit for this one. It’s a Bang is close on his heels at 8/5 and recently won his career opener by 9 ½ lengths at Laurel in a straight maiden 40k. These two seem to be the most dominate out of this field and I look for them to fight from gate to wire. I believe that when it’s all said and done, It’s a Bang will win out in this one. If I absolutely had to pick a value/longshot here, I would consider Springs R Loaded at 5 to 1. He does have some stakes experience having run 4th in the Fitz Dixon Jr. Memorial Juvenile Stakes at Presque Isle.  He still showed some good speed in that race and could possibly pull out the win here if the 2 powerhouses wear one another down.

Maryland Million Lassie at Laurel

Jonesin for JerryFollowing that race in Race 2 is the $100,000 Maryland million Lassie Stakes. This field of 8 two year old fillies will battle it out over 6 furlongs. The 4/5 morning line favorite is Jonesin for Jerry. Jonesin for Jerry is no stranger to stakes races having made several attempts including a 2nd place finish in the Small Wonder at Delaware. She looks much the best in this field, but should she have an off day like she has in the past, there are a few other considerations. Weekends of Love looks decent at 5 to 1. She bounced in her last outing, running 9th in the Selima Stakes at Laurel, but her past workouts look sharp and she might be able to pull this off given the right circumstances. Another consideration for a value/longshot play is Steady N Love. She has yet to break maiden in 2 tries, but her speed is comparable to Steady n Love and could possibly contend with Jonesin for Jerry.

Joseph A. Gimma Stakes at Belmont

Champagne RubyThe $150,000 Joseph A. Gimma Stakes at Belmont is the 2nd race on the card and will highlight a field of 7 New York State foaled fillies traveling 7 furlongs. The even money favorite on the morning line is Court Dancer. Court Dancer broke maiden at Saratoga in a straight maiden 70k and followed that up with a 4th place finish in the Grade 2 matron at Belmont. She will truly be the one to beat here. For a value play, I like Champagne Ruby. Her running style will fit the set-up of this race, her speed is good and she looks ready for this one. At 5 to 1, she will pay nicely for the upset. For a potential longshot, I’m going with Star Grazing at 15 to 1 on the morning line. She has the chance of improving here and will be receiving first time Lasix.

Bertram F. Bongard Stakes at Belmont

Fox RoxFollowing that race is the Bertram F. Bongard Stakes in Race 3 at Belmont. This event will host a field of 8 two year olds foaled in New York State that will travel 7 furlongs. The 6/5 morning line favorite is Wired Bryan. Wired Bryan will be the beast to beat in this one for sure. He recently won the New York Breeders’ Futurity at Finger Lakes by 7 lengths and he was this year’s Grade 2 Sanford Stakes winner at Saratoga. His last speed figure can’t be touched by this crowd and it is very unlikely that I will bet this race at all. But if I was to pick a value play, I would suggest taking a good look at Fox Rox. His works look good and he is about the only contender here who has a slim chance in this one. I’m a strong believer in never say never, so I won’t say that Wired Bryan is a lock, but at those odds and his past performances it will be really tough for this field to compete. Check back with us Sunday for more 2 year old action and good luck!

 

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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