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HHR’s 2 Year Old Stakes Watch- September 29th

Sunday’s 2 Year Old Stakes Races

Bond HolderBefore we start in on Sunday’s 2 year old stakes races, let’s take a quick look at the results from Saturday’s action. The big race in the 2 year old arena was the Frontrunner Stakes at Santa Anita. This Grade 1 event was important in that it gave out Kentucky Derby points to the top 4 finishers.  Bond Holder pulled off the upset and won by 2 ¼ lengths over Dance With Fate. In the Chandelier Stakes at Santa Anita, Secret Compass pulled off an upset of her own beating She’s a Tiger by a head. In the Shesastonecoldfox Stakes at Finger Lakes, Champagne Ruby pulled off an upset as well, beating Alwaysinstilettos by a length. Sing the Dream dominated the field in the Tin Chalice Stakes at Finger Lakes by 9 ¼ lengths, as did Wired Bryan in the New York Futurity by 7 lengths. At Calder, Secret Kitten won by 3 ½ lengths over Chinita Mia in the Cassidy, and Pachanga Party outrun Pallium Prize by 1 ¾ lengths in the Birdonthewire Stakes. Finally in the Victorian Queen Stakes at Woodbine, Regal Conqueror beat out Lexie Lou by 2 ½ lengths.

NWSS Cahill Road Stakes at Emerald

Chu and You Winning Angie StakesThe $50,000 NWSS Cahill Road Stakes is the 3rd race on the card at Emerald Downs and will see a field of 6 two year olds going 6 furlongs. Chu and You should be the dominant factor in this one. She is undefeated after 4 races, 3 of which were stakes races, and she blew away the field by 7 lengths in her last outing in the Northwest Farms Stakes. She’s going up against a mixed crowd here, but in this field I don’t think that will make a difference. I’m not a big fan of the favorite, but I make an exception with Chu and You. Dallon’s Gold will give her a run for it, though, and challenge her for the front-end lead. If I really wanted to place a wager in this race, I would put it on Classic Harbor.  I know he looks horrible on paper, but bear with me. I think he flopped in his first race… horribly. But I can forgive him. He was claimed in that race and is now being entered in a stakes race? Smells fishy to me, so for the odds I’ll bite. Maybe they know something I don’t. Otherwise, I like Chu and You all the way for this one.

Gottstein Futurity at Emerald

Del Rio HarborThe $75,000 Gottstein Futurity is the 10th race on the card at Emerald and features a field of 10 two year olds set to travel 1 1/16 of a mile. The 2 to 1 morning line favorite is Noosito who recently won the Dennis Dodge Stakes by a neck over Del Rio Harbor. Both of these horses would look good here, but I am fearful that they will burn one another out at 1 1/16 mile. For a value play I prefer Mebossman. The distance should suit his running style better and I look for him to be there at the finish. I am also considering Strawberry Dawn here as well. Based on her running style, she could easily sit mid-pack and pick off the tiring competition down the stretch.

Kip Deville Stakes at Remington

Circustown FlyerIn the 7th race at Remington Park is the $75,000 Kip Deville Stakes. A field of 8 will race 6 furlongs in this event. Aaron’s Orient is the 5/2 morning line favorite. In his second outing at Saratoga he broke maiden in a straight maiden 80k and won by ½ of a length. He looks good for this race, but I’m afraid he will be worn down by other front-end runners here, including Circustown Flyer who is 7/2 on the morning line. I look for both horses to be up in the mix, but my value play in this one is Rivers Run Deep. His speed figures are comparable to most in this field and he likes to make that come from behind run which should give him an edge in the Kip Deville.

Matron Stakes at Belmont

Miss BehaviourThe $200,000 Grade 2 Matron Stakes is the 8th race on the card at Belmont and will showcase a field of 7 two year old fillies going 6 furlongs. The 2 to 1 morning line favorite is Sweet Whiskey. She ran 4th in the Spinaway at Saratoga, but looks to return to her debut form here. In her career opener at Saratoga, Sweet Whiskey won by 5 ¼ lengths in a straight maiden 80k. I’m leaning more towards Miss Behaviour in this one, though. She won the Sorority at Monmouth by 8 ¼ lengths drawn clear and put up the best speed figure out of this bunch. She’ll be tough to beat. There are a lot of front runners entered here, so for a longshot I like Ocean Boulevard. She has consistently improved in her 3 outings and I look for a late charge from this filly that could upset this field at 12 to 1 on the ML.

Futurity Stakes at Belmont

CorfuThe $200,000 Grade 2 Futurity Stakes is the 9th race on the card at Belmont and will feature a field of 5 going 6 furlongs. Since Wired Bryan ran (and won) in the New York Breeder’s Futurity at Finger Lakes, he will not be in this one. In Trouble is the 5/2 morning line favorite having won his career opener at Saratoga by ¾ of a length in a straight maiden 80k. He looks suited to stalk the speed in this one, but I don’t know that he’ll be able to pull it off. Corfu is likely to set a blistering, suicidal pace and many will play him based on the impressive performance he gave in the Saratoga Special. For my value play here, I prefer Sound of Freedom. He has the best speed figure on the board and should be able to go hardcore with Corfu. In the end, I think he can pull it off and at 6 to 1 on the ML, he has my wager. Check back with us throughout the week for more 2 year old action!

 

 

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Mike Jr, eldest son of Mike Lane Sr, is co-lead author at HandicapHorseRacing.com and was raised on thoroughbred horse racing and handicapping. Although father and son often butt heads on their selections, they both have much love and admiration for the sport. Mike Jr. brings a new, fresh perspective to horse racing and is often in search of new angles to try.

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